Accurate football predictions

How to make sure you win with football predictions

Before explaining the essential tips to make your predictions successful, know that the first step is to estimate the probability that your bet is successful. This is quite simple to do simply by comparing the odds offered by the bookies for your choice. This indicates the probability that your selection will be winning or not. There are many ways to predict match results such as Mathematical football predictions 24/7.

Suppose that during the weekend, you want to bet on the match of PSG and Marseille, for which the PSG is favourite. In this case, the most reliable prediction will be a victory for PSG because they are stronger than their opponents. The probabilities of a PSG victory are greater than those of Marseille. In this context, if the odds offered by sports betting sites are 5,20 for a Marseille win against 1,45 for a PSG, placing a bet on Marseille to win is not the expected result. You should not forget to analyse the probabilities before placing your football bet. Here is a free tip to consider before betting.
The first thing to know is that motivation among players greatly influences the performance of a football club. The importance of a match (a win may be necessary to qualify for the Champions League or to avoid a relegation to the league or League 1) or the amount of the match bonus are for example key factors of the motivation of a football team.
But the team’s performance can also be influenced by other elements. What happens if a major player is suspended for the game or if a new signature has been made? It can be a major player who has problems off the field that could affect his game. These potentially important elements can potentially have a great influence on the game of the entire team.
When we know that the difference in motivation between two teams often makes the difference during a football match, we understand that this criterion is important for the success of a prediction. At the end of the season, for example, it is not uncommon to see a Premier League club with little to play to be held in check by a team in relegation struggle.
In modern football, the motivation of a team and a positive state of mind are often decisive. Take the example of national cup competitions. These are big games for the smaller teams and they will be very motivated to win, especially against a top league team.
This often results in a surprise result against Premier League or Championship teams. We see the same thing in other tournaments such as the World Cup or European Championships, where a traditionally weaker countries produces impressive performances in the finals.
The general state of mind of the team is reflected in the statements of the players, the coach or the owners and shareholders of a football club. Announcements such as the appointment of a new coach can also affect the short-term performance of the team. A change of coach desired by the players will tend to bring the team closer and improve their performance in the matches following the appointment.

Now To The Bottom Line, The Redodds Model!

So, by default the principle is to find bets that provide value in form of a probability stating a certain percentage of win in conjunction with an odd that is higher (hence lower probability of a win). When such a bet is identified you have a clear value and should over time be a winner. But the problem with a value bet is that the probabilities you relate to, is subjective and not a function of a static game with known variables that we all can relate to, besides that parameters are equally changing as the game moves along.
The principle Redodds relate to is a variation of the phenomenon dropping odds! The reasoning behind an odd that is dropping is a straight forward approach to the motivation of the team or information regarding previously quantified parameters by the bookies not being known earlier leading to bookies changing the odds as a function thereof. By definition you would generally see odds dropping during the game as a function of how the team, players and coaches behave…hence the momentum in the game and by that, odds will move.
Now, if a team has a probability of a win (according to the Redodds prediction model) as an example of 25 % (implying 4.00 in odd) and the actual odd in the market is reflecting 2.00 (implying 50% probability of a win) then the Redodds predictive model will marke that team as a modified dropping odds event (Premium Tip) and as such the true probability for a win in the model that Redodds use, will as a general rule be at least 5 percentage points below the reflecting odd. Over time the model has shown to be very valuable as a supportive tool when deciding which bet to take.
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