Accurate football predictions

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Redodds is providing quantitative mathematical methods when extracting value bets to all lovers of football and the general public. Our global community is made of mathematical experts who share their thoughts on mathematical modelling to help other sports bettors place knowledge supported bets with the best odds available from a variety of chosen bookmakers presented on Redodds.com.

Redodds is providing quantitative mathematical methods when extracting value bets to all lovers of football and the general public. Our global community is made of mathematical experts who share their thoughts on mathematical modelling to help other sports bettors place knowledge supported bets with the best odds available from a variety of chosen bookmakers presented on Redodds.com.

We are the most trusted partner you can count on anytime; we provide content that helps punters, both novice or experienced, develop stronger betting strategies. Our content includes in-depth mathematical modelling, real time surveillance data on football matches, and statistical analysis based upon option theory foundation and combined together we are establishing a strong betting approach.

If you are looking for betting advice, you can trust the tips from our expert systems; we conduct a complete data overview of upcoming fixtures. We're passionate about sports and statistics, we are investing a lot of time every day thoroughly going through each task, analysing every possible scenario around the games, wagering possibilities, enjoying situation, traditional styles, and a number of other essential research to shape out only the surest attainable producing tips.

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Please follow all their instructions when it comes to betting with responsibility.

Redodds.com do not take any responsibility for any prediction made on this site, It´s intention and purpose is only to be a guidance based upon mathematical predictive modelling.
Redodds Team

Info

  • How to use Premium Tip?

    Premium Tip is a function showing when money is not in line with mathematics regarding a predefined outcome.

    More info

      If probability on an outcome is showing 30% but the odds on that specific outcome with a Bookie is showing 2.00 (implying 50% probability of that specific outcome happening) then it generally means that smart money is moving into that outcome in a way not being aligned with what the mathematics are implying.

      It has shown that Premium Tip boxes over time has correct predictions of approximately 65%. Equilibrium for that probability is 1.54 in odds meaning that as long as you take positions in a specific Premium Tip outcome with odds greater then 1.54 you will be a winner over time if using the same amount of money invested, over and over again.

      A general mathematical rule is not to spend more than 2% of your money on each specific outcome.

  • Football Arbitrage with 3 outcomes

    Let's say we have an upcoming football match between Real Madrid and Real Sociedad.

    More info

      Real Madrid win, at odds of 2.00
      Drawn, at odds of 4.50
      Real Sociedad win, at odds of 6.10

      We calculate the implied probability for each individual outcome to identify if there is an arbitrage opportunity.

      Real Madrid at odds of 2.00
      Implied probability = 1 / 2.00
      = 0.50= 50.00%

      Drawn match at odds of 4.50
      Implied probability = 1 / 4.50
      = 0.2222 = 22.22%

      Real Sociedad win at odds of 6.10
      Implied probability = 1 / 6.10
      = 0.1639 = 16.39%

      We summarize each probability to come up with our market total.

      = 50.00% + 22.22% + 16.39% = 88.62%

      The total market is below 100%, we have identified an opportunity to make a guaranteed profit. Now we have to work out how much to stake on each outcome for a guaranteed profit no matter the outcome. Let's say we want to bet €500.

      Real Madrid at odds of 2.00
      = 50.00% / 88.62%
      = 56.42%

      The stake on Real Madrid will then be 56.42% of €500, a total of €282.12 on Real Madrid to win.

      Drawn match at odds of 4.50
      = 22.22% / 88.62%
      = 25.08%

      The stake on Draw will then be 25.08% of €500, a total of €125.39 on Draw.

      Real Sociedad at odds of 6.10
      = 16.39% / 88.32%
      = 18.50%

      The stake on Real Sociedad will then be 18.50% of €500, a total of €92.50 on Real Sociedad to win.

      If we place all bets, we will be guaranteed a profit on the match of roughly €64 no matter what happens.

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